Lula’s New Foreign Policy: Revisiting Overstretch or Restraining after the Sprain?

Authors

  • Pedro Feliú Ribeiro USP
  • Andrés Malamud University of Lisbon
  • Luis L. Schenoni University College London

Abstract

This article assesses whether, after the hiatus of Temer and Bolsonaro, Lula continued to pursue an overstretched foreign policy in his third term. We conclude that although he has restrained from those impulses, this is less due to any learning from past mistakes and primarily because of the pressures of the new geopolitical order. To make these points, we leverage data and analytical techniques to measure the overstretch along the lines of the project Foreign Policy in Numbers, hosted at the International Relations Institute of the São Paulo University.

Author Biographies

Pedro Feliú Ribeiro, USP

Associate professor of International Relations at the Institute of International Relations, University of São Paulo. Coordinator of the Foreign Policy in Numbers project (IRI-USP), he obtained a PhD in Political Science from the University of São Paulo. His research agenda covers foreign policy analysis, legislative studies, and bureaucratic politics.

Andrés Malamud, University of Lisbon

Senior research fellow at the Institute of Social Sciences of the University of Lisbon. He earned his PhD in Social and Political Sciences from the European University Institute at Florence. His research focuses on comparative regional integration, foreign policy, and Latin American politics.

Luis L. Schenoni , University College London

Associate professor at the Department of Political Science, University College London, and Director of UCL’s Security Studies Programme. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Notre Dame. His research focuses on the causes and consequences of interstate conflict. 

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Published

2025-03-12

How to Cite

Feliú Ribeiro, P., Malamud, A., & L. Schenoni , L. (2025). Lula’s New Foreign Policy: Revisiting Overstretch or Restraining after the Sprain?. CEBRI-Revista: Brazilian Journal of International Affairs, (12), 169–177. Retrieved from https://cebri-revista.emnuvens.com.br/revista/article/view/246

Issue

No. 12 (2024): G20 Brasil: Impacts and Legacies

Section

Artigos Acadêmicos

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Copyright (c) 2025 CEBRI-Revista: Brazilian Journal of International Affairs

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